Event: 05/12/2008 , location: 30.986°N, 103.364°E, 80 km (50 miles) WNW of Chengdu Fatalities: about 87,000 people killed (including 1300 kids), 370,000 injured, 18,000 missing Economic loss: about $85 billions, 5 millions were left homeless
We didn't submitted short-term forecast to the China Embassy in Russia in 3–5 days prior to earthquake. But from the 1998 year via China Embassy we repeatedly have been offered cooperation to the China Government. It's worth to note that offer made to the PRC is unique. We have offered full unpaid transfer of technology. Unfortunately, our proposal again was left with no response.
After this letters correspondence was terminated by the china side. Though we are still offering our technology to the PRC: Letter of 06/17/2008.
Earthquake of 2008 has occurred at the distance of 80 km from Chengdu, which was mentioned in the letter of 1998 as the region with highly increased noncompensation on Earth's surface of the polarization potential.
In the strong earthquake preparation process "marking" of the future epicenters take place long time before the actual event. These are the mentioned above areas with maximal noncompensation of the polarization potential. During earthquake preparation hypocenter (central point of the earthquake zone, the point where the fault begins to rupture) is being gradually localizing in the point with definite coordinates, in which lately earthquake will occurr. All these process have specific reflection in our instrumentation system data and on its basis it is possible to develop middle-term (till several years before the event) and short-term (3–5 days before the event) earthquake forecasts. These forecasts corresponds to the definite stages of the future earthquake localization process.
On the following figure WBG-4 signals prior to the Sichuan earthquake are presented.
WBG-4 signals for period of 05/01/2008-05/15/2008
On May 8–9 of 2008 it was registered intensive high-frequency precursor of the strong earthquake. Analogous signals having different intensity our instrumentation system registers 3–5 days prior to all strong earthquake. This signals carries information about completion of the earthquake preparation.
Using our system it would be possible to perform accurate localization of earthquake preparation region and also time of event estimation so thousands human lives could be saved.
Recipient: Kazakhstan Embassy in Russia Forecast: № 63 of 06/21/2005. Forecast content: Developing seismical tensity in the Almaty region in the coordinates of 43.0–43.5°N 77.0–77.5°E. Actual events: 06/24/2005 – , coordinates: 43,02°N 77,23°E This forecast was the second experience in time of event estimation in 3–5 days prior to the earthquake.
Recipient: Turkey Embassy in Russia Forecast: № 43 of 03/12/2003. Forecast content: Strong earthquake with М>6 in the following coordinates: 37–38°N and 40–41°E.
Actual events:
05/01/2003 – , location: 39.00°N 40.44°E
Economic loss and fatalities: thousands people killed including 640 kids. Read more...
Recipient: Prime-minister of Italy, President of USA, President of France (submitted to the corresponding Embassies in Russia) Forecast: № 47 of 05/24/2001. Forecast content: Anomalous synoptic events and earthquake in the coordinates of 44–45°N and 7–9°E will take place before heads of states meeting in Genoa on 07/20/2001. Actual events: 07/06/2001–07/08/2001 – 07/08/2001 – 07/18/2001 – Economic loss and fatalities: More than $500 millions of economic losses in France, 3 people were killed. This forecast was the first experience in time of event estimation.
Recipient: Italy Embassy in Russia Forecast: №29 of 07/28/2000 Forecast content: Earthquake in the following coordinates: 44-45°N, 7-9°E
Actual events: , location: 44,87°N, 8,48°E
After mentioned above successful forecast O.V. Martynov was invited to visit Italy. This visit was covered by the Italian mass media (newspapers and TV). If you have any more information than presented on our site please post links to it in the comments section.Read more...
Recipient: Azerbaijan Embassy in Russia Forecast: Fax to the Embassy on 02/03/1999 (), repeat on the 02/12/1999 ()
Articles in the newspaper "Komsomolskya pravda": №22 of 02/15/1999 and 09/25/1999, page 3 () Forecast content: Earthquakes cycle, starting in the following coordinates 40°N 48-49°E with further movement along the trajectory Kazi-Magomed city - Baku city (with earthquake M>6) and next to the sea to the oil production region with coordinates 52-55°E Actual events: 06/04/1999 , coordinates 40,8°N 47,45°E (Agdam region), 14 people were killed; 03/21/2000 , coordinates 39,95°N 48,23°E (Qaz?m?mm?d region), 7 people were killed; 11/25/2000 , coordinates 40,24°N 49,95°E and 40,17°N 49,95°E (Baku region), according to the EMERCOM of Russia 600 people were killed; 12/06/2000 , coordinates 39,57°N 54,80°E (Caspian Sea, oil production region). Read more...
Recipient: Turkey Embassy in Russia Forecast:№ 21 of 08/09/1999. Forecast content: Strong earthquake with М>6 in the following coordinates: 40°N and 28–30°E. or 40°N and 40–42°E Actual events:
08/17/1999 – , location: 40.74°N, 29.86°E, more than 200,000 were killed
11/12/1999 – , location 40.75°N 31.16°E, 7,000 people were killed
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